Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1.487642 1.865378 2.375997 3.149288 4.357850 6.316677 10.125975
2025-08-17 1.055137 1.462897 2.114591 3.352085 6.039341 13.275312 50.716136
2025-08-24 0.817943 1.199568 1.872672 3.355802 7.513408 26.493686 1356.337234
2025-08-31 0.662612 1.004897 1.646414 3.206265 8.504064 49.825323 NaN
2025-09-07 0.584507 0.917179 1.581444 3.382742 11.160015 180.884839 NaN
2025-09-14 0.516412 0.829312 1.482203 3.400193 13.509145 1345.119023 NaN
2025-09-21 0.457145 0.745385 1.364732 3.288046 15.099174 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.413018 0.683001 1.279328 3.233487 17.342512 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.395527 0.670811 1.310142 3.631244 27.564008 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.373064 0.644016 1.296249 3.853825 40.333925 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.346243 0.603635 1.235867 3.829033 49.947892 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.319031 0.558900 1.154019 3.651072 53.857522 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.301963 0.535284 1.128545 3.763865 78.954907 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.289491 0.520474 1.125506 4.012625 148.418209 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.273293 0.495030 1.085129 4.014284 222.626087 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.255320 0.463549 1.020455 3.819671 245.780603 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.246565 0.452842 1.018365 4.048577 713.260246 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.235278 0.434843 0.989491 4.071283 1810.189176 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.222615 0.412357 0.942276 3.925459 2799.450860 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.212151 0.394356 0.907143 3.854746 8144.045034 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.209959 0.396366 0.939187 4.373662 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.204764 0.390335 0.942587 4.667414 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.196657 0.376198 0.914734 4.634576 NaN NaN NaN